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Missed out on Arsenal

I had an eye on the arsenal game, unfortunately came home too late.

On a wider note took a small bet on Man U for the title- at half way through the season anything is possible so 23-1 seems to be generous. I'm sure the odds will shorten towards the end of the season, when I'll look to trade out for a 50% profit either way.

Game over

Games just finished , England running out winners 23-13, stretching away at 70 mins. Englands bench was stronger today.

From a trading point of view the lesson is to set a statedy before the game and stick to it. In this case take 20% profit when it was on offer.

Good game of rugby!

Traded Out

32 minutes on the clock, score 6-10 to France, odds are now 1,62 England and 2,88 France.

I've traded out for my 20 %, i expect the game to be nip and tuck all the way with england taking it.

As i type England 9-10.....

Eng v France

Just looking at the Betfair prices for the game, England are at 1,37 at the moment, France 4,2.

I see the logic based on results but i think the game is going to be closer than the odds suggest. I don't usually trade on anything but football but i'll be laying England before the start and looking to trade out with a 20% profit. I think England will win but the game will be tight until 60 minutes or so. France have been slaughtered by their own press during the week and have got a point to prove, their team has 7 changes from the last 2 games. The past shows that France are at their best when least expected to perform.

Resources

For those that are wondering about how to look at possible matchups i thought i'd throw this link in

soccervista

There are loads of stats sites out there, most earn their money from sign up to the bookies advertised on the page. I tend to use this site for comparison, past recent results and previous meetings. After looking at the teams and recent history i'll see if any games roughly fit my criteria. Afterwards i'll take a look at the BBC website for any news of injuries etc before making any final decisions on whether to put my hard earned cash on the line.

Video about Billy Walters Just watched this interesting video about Billy Walters, king of sports betting.

Discipline

Nothing on interest on the coupon today. Just thought i'd share a few thoughts today, leading on from yesterday. I've been messing around with betting and trading (there is a big difference) for about 8 years now. In the early years i thought that more was best. If the odds suited me i would go for the trade. The problem with this stategy is that before long it will lead to a losing day, the question is how to deal with a losing day! Some schools of thought say you should double up to win the losses back, others say ignore the loss and stick to the stategy. My own experience is that both stategies will work fine as long as the picks are good, and you don't fall into the expensive trap of just betting on the next available game to get your money back asap. Discipline is key! Before any given day i will have earmarked a number of games that are worth trading, sometimes 2-3, sometimes none. If there aren't any games then i leave it alone and get on with the rest of the day! I will not deviate from my original list during the day to try to recoup losses- it's very tempting to jump on the next game after taking a hit. After a loss i usually get off the laptop for a while and do something else for a while.

Time to start blogging again

Well i see that it's been a while since using the blog, time to pull my finger out i think! The last couple of years i've been playing around with forex trading with mixed success to be honest. Being honest with myself it was a bit hit and miss for me personally, the temptation is to slap yourself on the back after a good trade but blame the market after a losing trade - the danger being not learning from the mistake (whatever it was). The result is that i'll be concentrating on the football for the time being, going back to what works best. I suppose that there's a lesson there somewhere... These days i trade larger amounts but not as often. I think in the early days i traded far too often, giving part of the profits back. I'll try to post when and if i trade and running results.

13 Oct
Another tough coupon from Betfair today with youth internationals on the card.
Siena V Padova is the only FTS game on the coupon for me.

FTS System link is at the top right of the page. Now in it's 6th/ 7th season it's one of few winning trading systems available. The author sends out his own picks, and here i'll try to post my own picks as we go along.

Please note this is NOT straight betting, you need to get the system before betting any of your hard earned cash!

Well the England game was a good example of why we don't bet on internationals with FTS, the games are just too unpredictable. England going 0-0 with lowly Montenegro, Belgium playing a 4-4 with Austria. Basically too many hot favourites come unstuck at international level.

12 Oct
Some horse racing lay bets, remember go small!

4.10 Lei Bondage
5.10 Lei Rosairlie
3.50 Hun Swincombe Rock

International coupon today which is never the best for us! I generally try to avoid cup games (unknown team strength due to rested star players) and internationals as weak teams tend to try to play for the draw against strong opposition. Tonight i'll be staying away from Betfair and waiting for a better day.

FTS System link is at the top right of the page. Now in it's 6th/ 7th season it's one of few winning trading systems available. The author sends out his own picks, and here i'll try to post my own picks as we go along.

Please note this is NOT straight betting, you need to get the system before betting any of your hard earned cash!

Well River Plate ended 0-0, low scoring turned out to be optimistic! It turned out to be a good one to leave alone as predicted.

A few horse racing lays for those that may be interested. Please go small if you're using them, horse racing profits are chipped away at and not won in a day.


2.10 Sal Matavia Bay
2.40 Sal Desert Shine
3.45 Sal Sard
2.00 Win Jacobs Son
4.10 Win Ingleby Spirit
4.40 Win Launchpad
4.30 Kem Illustrious Prince
6.00 Kem Smart Endeavour

11 Oct there are no stand out games on the coupons, youth games and cup games are generally avoided. The only game that comes close is River Plate, but i think it will be low scoring and tight so i'll be giving it a miss today.

Remember don't just bet for the sake of it, if there's nothing worth trading on then it's best to take a day off.

FTS System link is at the top right of the page. Now in it's 6th/ 7th season it's one of few winning trading systems available. The author sends out his own picks, and here i'll try to post my own picks as we go along.

Please note this is NOT straight betting, you need to get the system before betting any of your hard earned cash!

Just for info the Xerez FTS came good as well, underdog went 2-0 up early on- you should have greened up if you were on the game.

They're still playing in Turkey but i've greened up nicely before the equaliser. As i said if the first two games go my way then that'll do for the day- well the Danish game was an easy winner and the Turkey game is greened out as well- so time to mow the lawn.
Remember- don't get greedy and push your luck!

Some nice wins in the last few days, today i'm going with

VestSjaelland
Denislispor
Xerez

all look good FTS games, if i'm up after the first 2 games i'll stop for the day- never push your luck too much.


FTS System link is at the top right of the page. Now in it's 6th/ 7th season it's one of few winning trading systems available. The author sends out his own picks, and here i'll try to post my own picks as we go along.

Please note this is NOT straight betting, you need to get the system before betting any of your hard earned cash!

Nice winner on the FTS, that'll do for today- don't push it just for the sake of it.